Food prices in Canada continue to soar in the face of labour shortages, the rising cost of goods and supply chain disruptions. Statistics Canada recently reported that the and that it will most likely rise again in the coming months.
Last December, forecast an overall increase in food prices in Canada of up to seven per cent, but there is a strong possibility that market disturbances related to the conflict in Ukraine could . This could cause trouble for grocery retailers that have become the epicentre of food price increases.
The general inflation rate . This underpins serious concerns for food security as food, energy, gas and housing prices soar.
When faced with skyrocketing food prices, of inflation to raise prices. Skepticism of the food industry will likely increase, yet we must be careful before judging too quickly.
Profits are smaller than you might think
At the , our research follows food prices closely. Every year, , and by how much. Generally, we get it right, but this year, food price inflation is set to surpass our predictions.
A comparison of the profit margins calculated from their respective annual reports published in 2021 for the big three retailers — Loblaws, Sobeys and Metro — against Canadian companies in other sectors shows us their financial results are rather modest. At the end of their respective fiscal years in 2021, profit margins were , and .
Certainly, these are interesting results; , but these rates are still below the increased rate of food inflation. In other words, the performance of these chains has actually stagnated, if we compare it with the increased cost of living.
Profit margins in the food distribution sector are generally smaller than in other sectors. The profits of large Canadian companies in other industries far exceeded those of the major grocery chains. For example, in 2021, and . In the banking sector, the profit margin of the — almost 10 times more than the largest food distributors.
Profit and food security
While the unease between profit and food security is not new, a company taking advantage of an inflationary windfall is still irresponsible and immoral. However, proving there is profiteering is virtually impossible, unless there is a confession like the .
With no real consequences imposed on participants, consumers are rightfully cynical, especially . In light of this scandal, the industry deserves its share of reproaches.
The balance between profits and social responsibility remains fragile in food, compared to other types of businesses. Nonetheless, if some people believe that our retailers are making too much money, then the question must be asked: what is the acceptable threshold of profitability in food distribution? One per cent? Three per cent? Five per cent?
How can we protect consumers?
In order to protect consumers, . This strategy already applies to a few products such as milk and beer, among others. However, state intervention for thousands of products would become a veritable bureaucratic and managerial nightmare, leading to high management costs that would end up being passed on to taxpayers.
In Canada, we have fairly well-run food retail businesses, but the . We only have five big players in grocery distribution: Empire/Sobeys, Loblaws, Metro, Costco and Walmart.
As profit-related accusations linger, the distributors could still show some empathy towards the public. There are few in-store discounts and promotions these days and flyers seem to be getting thinner since the start of the pandemic.
Grocers were subject to increased scrutiny during the pandemic, as one of the only public spaces to remain open during lockdowns. In a matter of days, they had to put protective measures in place and make the rapid switch to online retail. Actions to support struggling consumers, such as offering discounts for food nearing its best before date, will be key going forward.
Metro has made a step in the right direction by to offset some of the cost of food price inflation. Other grocers should take similar to find ways to improve affordability for consumers, who can’t catch a break otherwise. If the big chains don’t demonstrate their intention to help the consumer struggling to balance their budget due to inflation, criticism of their profits will intensify.
Janet Music receives funding from Social Science Humanities Research Council.
Sylvain Charlebois does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.